Poland Poland heading for a two-tier market

According to the latest 'Construction Market in Poland 2026-2033 – Analysis of the 16 regions' report published by Spectis, a two-speed Poland is highly likely to develop over the coming years for the construction industry. The development of several major projects, mainly in the most developed regions, will have a key impact on regional construction markets.

The total value of key investments continues to grow

The total value of the 960 largest ongoing and planned investments across Poland's 16 regions is estimated at PLN 1.05 tln, compared to PLN 910 bln in the previous year.

For this report, Spectis analysed nearly a thousand projects with the greatest impact on the future economic situation in local construction markets. In each voivodeship, 60 of the most important investments were analysed (30 each from the building construction and civil engineering segments). The total value of flagship projects in the construction phase is PLN 166 bln (compared to PLN 165 bln a year earlier), while projects in the tender, planning, or preliminary concept stages total PLN 885 bln (compared to PLN 745 bln a year earlier).

On average, each investment comes to PLN 1.1 bln, including PLN 544 mln for buildings and PLN 1.64 bln for civil engineering. In terms of civil engineering investments, this high average value is driven by more than a dozen megaprojects, worth tens of blns of zlotys.

Pomerania and Masovia with the highest volume of planned investment

The analysis of investment plans indicates that the Pomerania and Masovia regions remain the leaders in terms of project value. In each of these regions, the value of the 60 largest investments is significantly more than PLN 100 bln.

In Pomerania, the leading construction segments will be energy, hydraulic engineering, railways, roads, and residential construction.

In Mazovia, on the other hand, the largest number of large projects are planned in the energy-industrial, road, railway, and bridge-tunnel segments. In the building sector, the most activity will be in transport and communications buildings (the main driver of development is the construction of the Central Communication Port), public buildings, and office buildings.

Wielkopolska, Lower Silesia, Łódź, Małopolska, and Silesia in the Investment Chase Group

The next highest in terms of total project value are the Wielkopolska and Lower Silesia (over PLN 70 bln). The high investment attractiveness of these two regions is clearly influenced by the prospect of implementing the High Speed ​​​​Rail (the so-called Y line). For the same reason, the Łódź Voivodeship ranks high in terms of construction potential. Małopolska and Silesia round out the top regions with high investment potential. In all three regions, the combined value of the 60 largest investments exceeds PLN 60 bln. Nuclear Power and the CPK are getting closer to completion.

In addition to the planned Central Communication Port (Mazowieckie), the high-speed rail line Y (passing through four voivodeships), and the first nuclear power units (Pomorskie), the Port of Gdynia – Outer Port should also be mentioned, as well as the Podłęże-Szczyrzyc-Tymbark/Mszana Dolna railway line (Małopolskie), the S6 Western Bypass of Szczecin, the Warsaw Metro Line 3, combined cycle power units at the Kozienice and Połaniec Power Plants, the modernization of the E75 railway line, the expansion of the A2 and A4 motorways, and the deepwater container terminal in Świnoujście, including the deepening of the fairway (Zachodniopomorskie).

Major planned construction projects, in addition to the CPK, include: the FSO Park housing complex, Warsaw Gdańska, the Saxon Palace, the Research and Analytical Center of the National Institute of Public Health (PZH - National Research Institute), the expansion and modernisation of the Maria Skłodowska-Curie Institute of Oncology (Masovian Voivodeship), the Electromobility Hub in Jaworzno, the expansion of the Sławków Euroterminal, the construction of a metal recovery plant in Zawiercie (Silesian Voivodeship), a truck battery factory in Niepołomice near Kraków, the New Port 2030+ in Gdańsk, the University Hospital in Świlcza (Subcarpathian Voivodeship), a paper mill in Szczecinek (West Pomeranian Voivodeship), and numerous logistics centers in the western regions. Northeastern Poland faces a shortage of significant projects

The ranking of investment potential in voivodeships is rounded out by the six least economically developed regions: Eastern Poland (Warmia-Masuria, Podlaskie, Lublin, and Świętokrzyskie), as well as the Opole and Lubusz Voivodeships. In each of the six regions mentioned, the total value of the 60 largest investments does not exceed PLN 30 bln.